©THE HEREN REPORTS - ETSO new generation adequacy report
A new generation adequacy report by ETSO (European Transmission System Operators) has highlighted a number of European regions as potentially lacking sufficient capacity to meet their needs in the coming years. According to the report, published on Thursday (20th September), countries in the Baltic region would no longer have sufficient capacity to meet demand from 2010 onwards. This scenario, according to ETSO, is mainly down to the decommissioning of the 1,300 MW Lithuanian Ignalina nuclear power plant in 2009. Furthermore, ETSO forecasts that the supply situation in South Eastern Europe should become very tight. This tightness should be slightly offset by the decision to increase capacity in the region between now and 2010, but “is still not sufficient” to reach the necessary levels to avoid a supply squeeze. Additionally, the Republic of Ireland’s supply margins are set to come under pressure in the coming years, the report forecasts. This would be largely on the back of the shutting of a 1,300 MW heavy fuel oil-fired generator. As a result, EirGrid, the Irish TSO, has said there is a requirement for more plants from 2011. Elsewhere in the report, ETSO sees general stability and easing supply margins across Europe. The Union of Coordination of Transmission of Electricity (UCTE) Main Block, comprised of Spain, Portugal and Italy should have “adequate remaining capacity” (ARM) until 2015. Great Britain and NORDEL (Organization for Nordic Transmission) systems should see increased generation, largely from wind, in the coming years, easing the supply margin. Romania and Bulgaria, according to ETSO, should see capacity close to adequate levels, with post-2009 generation investments set to improve the supply situation. (THE HEREN REPORTS - EDEM 11183 / 20 September 2007)

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